REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 44854 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 25% faster than plan

Finished 06:0922h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 21h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:451h4609:551h55-10m11:003h00 +1h14+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:523h5312:024h03-51m14:206h20 +2h27+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:584h58-1h0616:008h00 +3h02+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:207h20-1h4319:4011h40 +4h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:369h37-2h1222:4014h40 +5h03+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:3011h30-2h4902:1018h10 +6h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:0013h0021:1013h11-3h37none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:5913h59-3h5609:1025h10 +11h11+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0323:5915h5900:0916h09-5h0412:1028h10 +12h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:1017h10-5h3813:4529h45 +12h35+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4402:2918h30-6h1416:0032h00 +13h30+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2503:2919h29-6h5617:4033h40 +14h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0504:4720h48-7h1719:1035h10 +14h22+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2806:0922h10-8h1822:0038h00 +15h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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