REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 44728 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 6% faster than plan

Finished 12:1028h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0310:132h13+7m11:003h00 +57m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:404h4112:504h50-3m14:206h20 +1h39+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:066h0614:156h16+2m16:008h00 +1h54+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:009h00-3m19:4011h40 +2h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:1311h1419:4311h44-35m22:4014h40 +3h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:5013h50-29m02:1018h10 +4h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:5615h5600:1616h16-41mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:1717h1801:2717h28-38m09:1025h10 +7h52+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:3019h30-1h3312:1028h10 +8h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:1021h1105:2021h21-1h3813:4529h45 +8h34+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:5622h5707:0723h07-1h4716:0032h00 +9h03+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:2924h2908:3924h40-1h5617:4033h40 +9h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:4925h4909:5825h59-2h1519:1035h10 +9h21+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:1028h10-2h1722:0038h00 +9h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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