REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 4435 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 27% faster than plan

Finished 05:4021h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 21h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:251h2509:341h35-31m11:003h00 +1h35+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:383h38-1h0514:206h20 +2h42+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:264h27-1h3716:008h00 +3h33+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0314:106h11-2h5319:4011h40 +5h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4816:168h1716:278h27-3h3222:4014h40 +6h23+time
Finland50.622:1814h1918:2710h2718:3710h37-3h5202:1018h10 +7h43+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3720:1612h17-4h20none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:1813h18-4h3709:1025h10 +11h52+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0323:2315h2423:3315h34-5h3912:1028h10 +12h46+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4900:3016h3000:4016h41-6h1813:4529h45 +13h15+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4401:4917h50-6h5416:0032h00 +14h10+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2503:1419h1503:2419h24-7h1117:4033h40 +14h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0504:2020h2004:3020h30-7h4419:1035h10 +14h50+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2805:4021h40-8h4822:0038h00 +16h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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