REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 44246 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% faster than plan

Finished 10:0926h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:421h4309:521h53-13m11:003h00 +1h17+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:074h0812:284h28-35m14:206h20 +2h12+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:315h3213:425h42-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:208h21-43m19:4011h40 +3h19+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1610h16-1h3222:4014h40 +4h24+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:3712h3720:4712h48-1h4102:1018h10 +5h33+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:3614h36-2h01none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:3915h3923:4915h49-2h1609:1025h10 +9h31+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:0918h0902:1918h20-2h5412:1028h10 +10h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:4719h4804:0720h08-3h0113:4529h45 +9h57+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:3821h3905:4821h48-3h0516:0032h00 +10h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:0423h0507:1423h14-3h2117:4033h40 +10h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:2024h2108:4124h41-3h4419:1035h10 +10h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:0926h10-4h1822:0038h00 +11h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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