REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 44111 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% slower than plan

Finished 18:5034h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:132h14-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:175h1813:275h28+34m14:206h20 +1h02+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:526h5215:117h11+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3910h4018:5010h50+1h3619:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:4313h4422:0314h04+1h5622:4014h40 +56m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3916h4000:4916h50+2h2102:1018h10 +1h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:1019h1103:3019h30+2h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:5320h5305:0321h04+2h5809:1025h10 +4h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:1924h1908:2924h29+3h1612:1028h10 +3h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:2226h2210:3126h32+3h3413:4529h45 +3h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:2928h2912:3928h40+3h4616:0032h00 +3h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:1430h1514:3430h35+3h5017:4033h40 +3h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:2132h2116:4032h41+4h1719:1035h10 +2h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:5034h50+4h2322:0038h00 +3h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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