REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 42833 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 20:3936h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h23+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:465h4613:565h57+1h0314:206h20 +34m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:077h0815:177h17+1h0416:008h00 +52m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1010h1018:2010h20+1h0719:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0713h0721:1713h17+1h1922:4014h40 +1h33+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:4915h5023:5916h00+1h3102:1018h10 +2h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:3118h3102:4018h41+1h54none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:1220h1304:2220h23+2h1709:1025h10 +4h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:1924h1908:3924h39+3h1612:1028h10 +3h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:4926h4911:0927h09+4h0113:4529h45 +2h56+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:2629h2713:3629h37+4h4316:0032h00 +2h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:5531h5516:1432h15+5h3017:4033h40 +1h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:5033h5118:1134h11+5h4619:1035h10 +1h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:3936h40+6h1222:0038h00 +1h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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