REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 42216 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% slower than plan

Finished 17:4933h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:332h34+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:225h2313:325h33+39m14:206h20 +57m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:127h12+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2010h2018:3010h30+1h1719:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1413h1421:4313h44+1h2622:4014h40 +1h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:4815h4900:0816h09+1h3002:1018h10 +2h21+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:1618h1702:2618h27+1h39none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:2819h2903:3819h38+1h3309:1025h10 +5h41+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:3922h3906:5922h59+1h3612:1028h10 +5h31+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:3224h3209:0225h02+1h4413:4529h45 +5h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:0627h0611:1527h16+2h2316:0032h00 +4h54+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:0729h0813:2729h28+2h4217:4033h40 +4h32+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:5730h5715:3731h38+2h5319:1035h10 +4h13+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:4933h50+3h2222:0038h00 +4h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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