REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 42008 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 6% faster than plan

Finished 12:3028h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 14h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:132h13+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:274h27-16m14:206h20 +1h53+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:365h37-27m16:008h00 +2h23+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h11-53m19:4011h40 +3h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:5310h5419:1411h14-55m22:4014h40 +3h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:1813h1921:3813h39-1h0002:1018h10 +4h51+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:5015h5100:0116h01-47mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:5916h59-56m09:1025h10 +8h11+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:4019h40-1h2312:1028h10 +8h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:1221h1205:2221h23-1h3613:4529h45 +8h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:0623h0707:1623h16-1h3716:0032h00 +8h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:4824h4908:5824h59-1h3717:4033h40 +8h51+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:1726h1710:3726h37-1h4719:1035h10 +8h53+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:3028h30-1h5722:0038h00 +9h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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