REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 4166 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 31% slower than plan

Finished 00:5040h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 2h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:305h3013:405h40+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:127h1215:227h22+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4910h5018:5911h00+1h4619:4011h40 +50m+time
! County Road 642.619:4811h4822:5314h5423:1315h14+3h0522:4014h40 -14m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:5017h5002:0918h10+3h3102:1018h10 +20m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3705:0021h0105:2021h20+4h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5606:4222h4306:5222h53+4h4709:1025h10 +2h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:4926h4911:0827h09+5h4612:1028h10 +1h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4913:4229h4314:0230h03+6h5413:4529h45 +2m+time
! Temperance84.608:4324h4416:3632h3616:4632h46+7h5316:0032h00 -36m+time
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2519:0435h0519:1535h15+8h3917:4033h40 -1h25+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0521:3037h3121:4037h41+9h2619:1035h10 -2h21+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2800:5040h50+10h2222:0038h00 -2h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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