REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 40969 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% faster than plan

Finished 11:4027h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:441h44-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:553h5512:154h16-48m14:206h20 +2h25+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:115h1213:315h32-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:118h1116:208h21-52m19:4011h40 +3h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1610h17-1h3222:4014h40 +4h23+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:2012h20-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:2614h26-2h11none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:4815h4800:0816h08-2h0709:1025h10 +9h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:1919h2003:3019h30-1h4412:1028h10 +8h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:5220h5205:0121h02-1h5613:4529h45 +8h53+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:3622h3606:4622h46-2h0716:0032h00 +9h24+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:5923h5908:0924h09-2h2617:4033h40 +9h41+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:2825h28-2h3619:1035h10 +9h42+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:4027h40-2h4722:0038h00 +10h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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