REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 40423 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 6% slower than plan

Finished 16:1932h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0013:105h11+17m14:206h20 +1h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:316h3214:516h52+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:509h5017:5910h00+47m19:4011h40 +1h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5412h5421:0413h04+1h0622:4014h40 +1h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:3015h3023:3915h40+1h1102:1018h10 +2h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:4317h4302:0318h03+1h06none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:1319h1303:2319h23+1h1809:1025h10 +5h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:0922h0906:1922h20+1h0612:1028h10 +6h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:0224h0208:1224h12+1h1413:4529h45 +5h43+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0926h1010:1926h20+1h2616:0032h00 +5h50+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:0828h0912:2928h29+1h4317:4033h40 +5h31+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:4729h4714:1630h17+1h4319:1035h10 +5h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:1932h20+1h5222:0038h00 +5h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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