REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 40331 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:2030h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 12h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3309:431h43-23m11:003h00 +1h27+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:104h1112:204h21-33m14:206h20 +2h09+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:325h3213:415h42-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:298h30-34m19:4011h40 +3h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:1311h13-35m22:4014h40 +3h27+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:5013h5021:5914h00-29m02:1018h10 +4h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:4015h4023:5115h51-57mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:5716h5801:1717h18-58m09:1025h10 +8h12+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:5920h0004:0920h10-1h0312:1028h10 +8h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:5821h5806:1822h18-50m13:4529h45 +7h47+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:2324h2308:3224h33-20m16:0032h00 +7h37+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:0726h0710:1726h17-18m17:4033h40 +7h33+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:4727h4811:5827h58-17m19:1035h10 +7h22+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:2030h20-7m22:0038h00 +7h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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