REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 40309 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 08:5024h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:381h38-18m11:003h00 +1h22+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:594h00-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:025h0213:115h12-1h0216:008h00 +2h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:307h31-1h3319:4011h40 +4h09+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:379h37-2h1122:4014h40 +5h03+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:3911h40-2h3902:1018h10 +6h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:3513h3521:4413h45-3h02none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:4714h4822:5814h58-3h0809:1025h10 +10h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:2017h20-3h4312:1028h10 +10h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:5818h58-3h5013:4529h45 +10h47+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:2920h2904:3920h40-4h1416:0032h00 +11h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:4921h50-4h3617:4033h40 +11h50+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:5022h5107:0023h01-5h1419:1035h10 +12h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:5024h50-5h3722:0038h00 +13h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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