REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 39042 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:1930h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 12h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:042h04-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:274h28-15m14:206h20 +1h52+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:415h4214:026h02-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:009h0017:099h10-3m19:4011h40 +2h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:4611h47-2m22:4014h40 +2h53+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:5914h0022:1014h10-19m02:1018h10 +4h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:0016h0100:2016h21-37mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:3317h3301:4317h43-22m09:1025h10 +7h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:4920h5005:0921h10-13m12:1028h10 +7h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:3822h3806:4822h49-10m13:4529h45 +7h07+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:3824h3908:4924h49-5m16:0032h00 +7h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:2426h2510:4426h45-1m17:4033h40 +7h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0512:1028h1112:2028h21+6m19:1035h10 +6h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:1930h20-8m22:0038h00 +7h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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