REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 37942 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 21% slower than plan

Finished 21:2937h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h23+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:494h5013:005h00+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:326h3214:526h52+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0910h1018:1910h20+1h0619:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0613h0621:1513h16+1h1822:4014h40 +1h34+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:1016h1000:1916h20+1h5102:1018h10 +2h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2419h2503:4419h45+2h47none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:1221h1305:2221h23+3h1709:1025h10 +3h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:2925h3009:4025h40+4h2712:1028h10 +2h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:2927h2911:3927h39+4h4113:4529h45 +2h16+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:4629h4714:0630h07+5h0316:0032h00 +2h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:0832h0816:2832h28+5h4317:4033h40 +1h32+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:3634h3718:5634h57+6h3219:1035h10 +33m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:2937h30+7h0222:0038h00 +30m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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