REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 3781 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 16:0032h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:442h44+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:535h5314:126h13+1h1014:206h20 +27m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:317h3215:427h42+1h2816:008h00 +28m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:5010h5019:0011h00+1h4719:4011h40 +50m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:2313h2421:4313h44+1h3622:4014h40 +1h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:0916h1000:2016h20+1h5102:1018h10 +2h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:2018h2002:4018h40+1h43none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4319h4303:5319h53+1h4809:1025h10 +5h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:4922h5007:0923h09+1h4612:1028h10 +5h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:2824h2908:3824h39+1h4013:4529h45 +5h16+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:1726h1810:3726h38+1h3416:0032h00 +5h42+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:0428h0512:1528h15+1h3917:4033h40 +5h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:5029h5114:0130h01+1h4619:1035h10 +5h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:0032h00+1h3322:0038h00 +6h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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