REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 36629 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 24% slower than plan

Finished 22:4938h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:142h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5012:595h00+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:336h3414:536h53+30m16:008h00 +1h26+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2910h3018:4010h40+1h2719:4011h40 +1h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:5413h5422:1414h15+2h0622:4014h40 +46m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:5917h0001:0917h10+2h4102:1018h10 +1h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2619h2703:3619h37+2h49none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0221h0305:2221h23+3h0709:1025h10 +4h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:1925h2009:4925h50+4h1612:1028h10 +2h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:5227h5212:0228h02+5h0413:4529h45 +1h53+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:2930h2914:4930h49+5h4616:0032h00 +1h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:5432h5517:1433h15+6h3017:4033h40 +45m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0519:2135h2119:5035h51+7h1719:1035h10 -11m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:4938h50+8h2222:0038h00 -50m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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