REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 35909 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 6% slower than plan

Finished 17:0033h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:242h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:055h0613:155h16+22m14:206h20 +1h14+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:316h3214:426h42+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0010h0018:2010h20+57m19:4011h40 +1h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5612h5621:2613h27+1h0822:4014h40 +1h44+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:5015h5000:0016h00+1h3102:1018h10 +2h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:0418h0502:1418h14+1h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:2219h2303:3219h33+1h2709:1025h10 +5h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:5923h0007:2023h20+1h5612:1028h10 +5h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:4124h4209:1225h13+1h5313:4529h45 +5h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:0927h1011:1927h19+2h2616:0032h00 +4h50+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:4928h5012:5928h59+2h2417:4033h40 +4h50+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:2030h2114:4030h41+2h1619:1035h10 +4h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:0033h00+2h3322:0038h00 +5h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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