REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 33339 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% faster than plan

Finished 11:0027h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h47-9m11:003h00 +1h13+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:594h0012:104h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:175h1813:275h28-46m16:008h00 +2h42+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:497h5016:098h10-1h1319:4011h40 +3h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1710h17-1h3122:4014h40 +4h23+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:3912h3920:4912h49-1h4002:1018h10 +5h31+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:5014h5023:0015h01-1h47none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:5815h5800:0816h09-1h5709:1025h10 +9h12+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:3418h3502:4518h45-2h2812:1028h10 +9h35+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:5920h0004:0920h10-2h4913:4529h45 +9h45+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:3921h3905:5921h59-3h0416:0032h00 +10h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:3423h3507:4423h45-2h5117:4033h40 +10h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:5124h5109:0025h01-3h1319:1035h10 +10h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:0027h00-3h2722:0038h00 +11h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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