REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 32465 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 14% slower than plan

Finished 18:5935h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0310:132h14+7m11:003h00 +57m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:404h4013:005h00-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:326h3214:416h41+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:5910h0018:0910h10+56m19:4011h40 +1h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5312h5421:0413h04+1h0522:4014h40 +1h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:2915h3023:4015h40+1h1102:1018h10 +2h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:0418h0502:2418h25+1h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4819h4804:2820h28+1h5309:1025h10 +5h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:4923h4907:5823h58+2h4612:1028h10 +4h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:1226h1210:2226h22+3h2413:4529h45 +3h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:2628h2712:3728h37+3h4316:0032h00 +3h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:3430h3514:4430h45+4h1017:4033h40 +3h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:2032h2116:3132h31+4h1619:1035h10 +2h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:5935h00+4h3222:0038h00 +3h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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