REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 32428 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% slower than plan

Finished 19:1935h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:252h2510:352h35+29m11:003h00 +35m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:275h2713:375h37+44m14:206h20 +53m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:217h21+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3910h4018:5010h50+1h3619:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1713h17+1h2922:4014h40 +1h23+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:1916h2000:4016h40+2h0102:1018h10 +1h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:5018h5103:1019h11+2h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:2320h2304:3320h33+2h2809:1025h10 +4h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:0924h1008:1924h19+3h0612:1028h10 +4h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:1226h1210:2226h22+3h2413:4529h45 +3h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:3928h3912:4928h49+3h5616:0032h00 +3h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:0431h0515:2431h24+4h3917:4033h40 +2h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:4832h4817:0833h09+4h4419:1035h10 +2h22+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:1935h20+4h5222:0038h00 +2h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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