REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 31704 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% slower than plan

Finished 17:4933h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:342h34+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1013:195h20+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:117h12+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2010h2018:2910h30+1h1719:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:5313h5422:1414h14+2h0622:4014h40 +46m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:4016h4000:5016h50+2h2102:1018h10 +1h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:0619h0703:1619h17+2h29none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:3320h3305:0321h03+2h3809:1025h10 +4h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:0924h0908:1824h19+3h0612:1028h10 +4h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:5825h59+3h1013:4529h45 +3h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:4727h4811:5827h58+3h0416:0032h00 +4h12+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:5429h5514:0430h05+3h2917:4033h40 +3h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:3131h3115:5131h51+3h2719:1035h10 +3h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:4933h50+3h2222:0038h00 +4h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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