REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 31018 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 30% slower than plan

Finished 00:3940h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 2h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h24+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:195h2013:305h30+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:127h12+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3010h3018:5010h50+1h2719:4011h40 +1h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:2314h2423:0415h04+2h3522:4014h40 +16m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1902:0018h0002:1018h10+3h4102:1018h10 +10m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3705:1421h1505:4421h45+4h37none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5607:1223h1307:4323h44+5h1709:1025h10 +1h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0311:2527h2511:3527h35+6h2212:1028h10 +45m+time
! Cramer Road77.706:4822h4913:4629h4714:0630h07+6h5813:4529h45 -2m+time
! Temperance84.608:4324h4416:2632h2716:5632h57+7h4316:0032h00 -27m+time
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2518:5734h5719:1735h17+8h3217:4033h40 -1h17+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0521:0037h0121:2037h21+8h5619:1035h10 -1h51+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2800:3940h40+10h1222:0038h00 -2h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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