REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 3033 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% slower than plan

Finished 18:5935h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:152h1610:352h35+20m11:003h00 +44m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:335h3313:425h43+50m14:206h20 +47m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:117h1215:417h42+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:0011h01+1h5819:4011h40 +39m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:2713h2721:5713h57+1h3922:4014h40 +1h13+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3816h3900:5816h59+2h2002:1018h10 +1h31+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:3619h3603:4519h46+2h59none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:1221h1305:4221h43+3h1709:1025h10 +3h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:4924h4909:1925h20+3h4612:1028h10 +3h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:4226h4211:1227h12+3h5413:4529h45 +3h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:0829h0813:2829h29+4h2516:0032h00 +2h52+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:3930h40+4h1417:4033h40 +3h00+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:3032h3116:4032h41+4h2619:1035h10 +2h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:5935h00+4h3222:0038h00 +3h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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