REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 30164 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% faster than plan

Finished 10:1926h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:142h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:384h39-4m14:206h20 +1h41+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:355h36-28m16:008h00 +2h24+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:008h0016:108h10-1h0319:4011h40 +3h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3310h3418:4310h44-1h1422:4014h40 +4h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:3912h40-1h3902:1018h10 +5h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:1814h18-2h19none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:2315h2323:3315h34-2h3209:1025h10 +9h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:4917h5001:5918h00-3h1412:1028h10 +10h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:1819h1903:2819h29-3h3013:4529h45 +10h26+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:1121h11-3h3216:0032h00 +10h49+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:4922h49-3h3617:4033h40 +10h51+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:0824h09-3h5619:1035h10 +11h01+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:1926h20-4h0822:0038h00 +11h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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