REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 29587 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 14% faster than plan

Finished 10:0026h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4410:032h03-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:284h2812:384h38-15m14:206h20 +1h52+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:375h37-26m16:008h00 +2h23+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:208h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3710h38-1h1122:4014h40 +4h02+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:2812h29-1h5002:1018h10 +5h41+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:1614h17-2h21none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:1815h1923:2815h28-2h3709:1025h10 +9h51+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:0918h0902:1918h19-2h5412:1028h10 +10h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:4219h4203:5219h53-3h0613:4529h45 +10h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:2821h2905:3821h39-3h1516:0032h00 +10h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:4922h50-3h3617:4033h40 +10h50+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:5823h5908:0924h09-4h0619:1035h10 +11h11+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:0026h00-4h2722:0038h00 +12h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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