REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 29454 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 20% slower than plan

Finished 21:2037h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:142h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5013:005h01+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:156h16+12m16:008h00 +1h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:399h4017:499h50+36m19:4011h40 +2h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0313h0421:2413h24+1h1622:4014h40 +1h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:2016h2000:3916h40+2h0102:1018h10 +1h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2019h2003:3019h30+2h43none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0321h0305:2321h23+3h0809:1025h10 +4h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:5924h5909:0925h09+3h5612:1028h10 +3h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:0227h0211:1127h12+4h1413:4529h45 +2h43+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:5729h5814:1830h18+5h1416:0032h00 +2h02+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:0432h0516:1532h15+5h3917:4033h40 +1h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:2034h2118:3134h31+6h1619:1035h10 +49m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:2037h20+6h5222:0038h00 +40m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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