REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 25759 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 21% faster than plan

Finished 07:2023h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 19h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:271h28-28m11:003h00 +1h32+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:383h38-1h0514:206h20 +2h42+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:514h5213:025h02-1h1216:008h00 +3h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:197h2015:307h30-1h4419:4011h40 +4h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:169h17-2h3222:4014h40 +5h23+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:2011h2019:3011h30-2h5902:1018h10 +6h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:0813h08-3h29none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:1214h1222:2214h22-3h4309:1025h10 +10h58+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:3016h3000:4916h50-4h3312:1028h10 +11h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:5617h5702:0718h07-4h5213:4529h45 +11h48+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4403:1019h10-5h3316:0032h00 +12h50+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2504:2120h2104:3120h31-6h0417:4033h40 +13h19+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0505:2821h28-6h3619:1035h10 +13h42+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2807:2023h20-7h0722:0038h00 +14h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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