REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 25614 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% slower than plan

Finished 19:4035h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1310:232h23+17m11:003h00 +47m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5013:005h00+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:166h1614:266h26+12m16:008h00 +1h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:309h3017:409h40+27m19:4011h40 +2h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5312h5421:0313h04+1h0522:4014h40 +1h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:2915h3023:4915h50+1h1102:1018h10 +2h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:3018h3002:5018h51+1h53none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:0320h0304:2220h23+2h0809:1025h10 +5h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:4923h5007:5923h59+2h4612:1028h10 +4h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:4125h4210:0226h03+2h5313:4529h45 +4h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:2628h2712:4728h47+3h4316:0032h00 +3h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:4530h4514:5530h55+4h2017:4033h40 +2h55+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:3032h3116:4032h41+4h2619:1035h10 +2h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:4035h40+5h1322:0038h00 +2h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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