REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 2218 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 22% slower than plan

Finished 22:0938h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:541h5410:132h14-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:035h0313:235h23+20m14:206h20 +1h17+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:526h5215:117h12+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3010h3018:3910h40+1h2719:4011h40 +1h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:0414h0422:4314h43+2h1622:4014h40 +36m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:2017h2001:3017h30+3h0202:1018h10 +50m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:0620h0604:1620h16+3h29none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:4321h4305:5321h53+3h4809:1025h10 +3h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:4925h5010:0926h10+4h4712:1028h10 +2h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:0228h0212:2228h23+5h1413:4529h45 +1h43+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:4630h4715:1631h17+6h0316:0032h00 +1h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:5432h5517:1533h15+6h3017:4033h40 +45m+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:5034h5119:1035h11+6h4619:1035h10 +19m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:0938h10+7h4222:0038h00 -10m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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