REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 22005 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 12% faster than plan

Finished 10:3926h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3309:431h43-23m11:003h00 +1h27+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:004h0112:094h10-43m14:206h20 +2h19+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:115h1213:215h22-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:008h00-1h0319:4011h40 +3h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1610h16-1h3222:4014h40 +4h24+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:2012h2020:2912h30-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:3014h3122:4014h40-2h07none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:3815h38-2h1709:1025h10 +9h32+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:3918h4002:5018h50-2h2412:1028h10 +9h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:5920h00-2h4913:4529h45 +9h45+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:3621h3705:4621h47-3h0716:0032h00 +10h23+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:5923h00-3h2617:4033h40 +10h40+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:1724h1708:2724h27-3h4719:1035h10 +10h53+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:3926h40-3h4822:0038h00 +11h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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