REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 21317 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% slower than plan

Finished 18:0034h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h23+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:295h3013:405h40+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:227h22+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2010h2018:2910h30+1h1719:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0513h0621:3613h36+1h1822:4014h40 +1h34+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:5916h0000:2016h20+1h4102:1018h10 +2h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:1718h1702:3618h37+1h40none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4319h4304:0220h02+1h4809:1025h10 +5h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:5923h0007:0923h09+1h5612:1028h10 +5h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:5824h5909:1825h18+2h1013:4529h45 +4h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:4627h4711:5627h57+3h0316:0032h00 +4h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:3929h3913:4929h49+3h1417:4033h40 +4h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:3831h3815:4831h48+3h3419:1035h10 +3h32+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:0034h00+3h3322:0038h00 +4h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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