REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 20459 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 15:4931h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:332h33+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:305h3113:405h40+47m14:206h20 +49m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:526h5215:117h12+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:499h5017:5910h00+46m19:4011h40 +1h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3612h3620:4512h46+48m22:4014h40 +2h04+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:2915h3023:3915h40+1h1102:1018h10 +2h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:5017h5002:1018h11+1h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:2719h2803:4719h48+1h3209:1025h10 +5h42+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:1922h1906:2922h29+1h1612:1028h10 +5h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:0224h0208:1224h12+1h1413:4529h45 +5h43+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0726h0810:1726h18+1h2416:0032h00 +5h52+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:5928h0012:0928h09+1h3417:4033h40 +5h40+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:5029h5114:0030h01+1h4619:1035h10 +5h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2815:4931h50+1h2222:0038h00 +6h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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