REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 18538 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 12:3028h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 14h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:481h4809:581h58-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:454h4613:055h06+2m14:206h20 +1h34+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:076h07+3m16:008h00 +1h53+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:408h4016:498h50-23m19:4011h40 +3h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:2611h27-22m22:4014h40 +3h13+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:4013h40-39m02:1018h10 +4h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:3015h3023:4015h41-1h07none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:3316h3300:5316h53-1h2209:1025h10 +8h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:3919h4003:4919h50-1h2412:1028h10 +8h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:0221h0205:1221h12-1h4613:4529h45 +8h43+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:5923h00-1h4416:0032h00 +9h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:2924h29-1h5617:4033h40 +9h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:0826h0810:1826h18-1h5619:1035h10 +9h02+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:3028h30-1h5722:0038h00 +9h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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