REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 97052 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 30% slower than plan

Finished 02:5521h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:452h3007:482h34+31mnone+time
! Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:154h01+58m09:103h55 -6m+time
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:427h2812:527h38+1h3812:106h55 -33m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:449h3014:549h40+2h0513:458h30 -1h00+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:3312h1817:4312h28+2h4616:0010h45 -1h33+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:0314h4920:2215h08+3h3117:4012h25 -2h24+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:5217h3723:0117h47+4h3119:1013h55 -3h42+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0002:5521h40+5h4022:0016h45 -4h55+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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