REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 9463 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 26% slower than plan

Finished 01:5520h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 1h16m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:452h3008:153h00+31mnone+in +out
! Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:294h1409:384h24+1h1109:103h55 -19m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:437h2812:537h39+1h3812:106h55 -33m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:379h2314:479h32+1h5813:458h30 -53m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:3212h1817:4312h28+2h4616:0010h45 -1h33+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:4314h2820:0314h49+3h1117:4012h25 -2h03+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:2217h0722:3217h17+4h0219:1013h55 -3h12+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0001:5520h40+4h4022:0016h45 -3h55+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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