REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 77832 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 27% slower than plan

Projected finish 03:1321h58 (03:0521h5103:2122h07)past the 22:0016h45 cutoff

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:142h00+0mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:433h2808:523h38+25m09:103h55 +27m+time
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:267h1212:377h22+1h2212:106h55 -17m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:349h2014:549h40+1h5513:458h30 -50m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:2312h0817:4312h28+2h3616:0010h45 -1h23+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:0314h4820:1314h58+3h3117:4012h25 -2h23+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:4217h2823:0317h48+4h2219:1013h55 -3h33+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h00~03:13~21h58 ±8m22:0016h45 -5h14+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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