REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 76355 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 8% slower than plan

Finished 23:0417h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h6m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:152h00+1mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:142h59-3m09:103h55 +56m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:246h1011:346h19+19m12:106h55 +45m+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:148h0013:448h29+35m13:458h30 +30m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:1210h5816:2211h08+1h2616:0010h45 -13m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1718:2313h0818:3313h19+1h5117:4012h25 -43m+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0620:1214h5820:2315h08+1h5219:1013h55 -1h03+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0023:0417h50+1h5022:0016h45 -1h05+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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