REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 76009 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 22:1417h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:051h5007:081h53-9mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:042h50-13m09:103h55 +1h05+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:245h1010:275h13-41m12:106h55 +1h45+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:147h0012:247h09-25m13:458h30 +1h30+time
Temperance33.214:479h3214:349h1914:439h29-13m16:0010h45 +1h26+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1716:2311h0916:5311h38-9m17:4012h25 +1h16+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0618:5213h3819:0213h47+32m19:1013h55 +17m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0022:1417h00+1h0022:0016h45 -15m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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