REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 75974 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 28% slower than plan

Finished 02:4521h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:352h20+20mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:533h3909:033h49+36m09:103h55 +16m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:157h0012:257h11+1h1012:106h55 -5m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:449h3015:049h50+2h0513:458h30 -1h00+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:3412h1917:5412h39+2h4716:0010h45 -1h34+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:1314h5820:2315h09+3h4117:4012h25 -2h33+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:4217h2823:0317h48+4h2219:1013h55 -3h33+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0002:4521h30+5h3022:0016h45 -4h45+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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