REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 73555 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 00:4519h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 2h26m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:352h2007:372h23+20mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:443h30+27m09:103h55 +25m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:446h3012:147h00+40m12:106h55 +25m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:078h5314:189h03+1h2813:458h30 -23m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:4511h3016:5411h40+1h5816:0010h45 -45m+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:0313h4819:1313h58+2h3117:4012h25 -1h23+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0621:1415h5921:2416h09+2h5419:1013h55 -2h04+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0000:4519h30+3h3022:0016h45 -2h45+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload