REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 7331 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 18% faster than plan

Finished 17:5412h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h16m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:551h4007:051h51-19mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:442h3007:472h32-33m09:103h55 +1h25+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:044h5010:084h53-1h0012:106h55 +2h05+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2511:186h0411:286h13-1h2113:458h30 +2h26+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3212:537h3813:027h48-1h5416:0010h45 +3h07+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1714:249h1014:359h20-2h0717:4012h25 +3h15+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0615:4410h29-2h3619:1013h55 +3h26+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0017:5412h40-3h2022:0016h45 +4h05+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload