REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69905 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 30% slower than plan

Finished 02:5521h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:342h20+20mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:043h4909:143h59+47m09:103h55 +6m+time
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:447h3012:557h40+1h4012:106h55 -35m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:479h3315:079h53+2h0813:458h30 -1h03+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:3212h1817:4212h28+2h4616:0010h45 -1h33+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:1414h5920:3415h20+3h4217:4012h25 -2h34+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0623:1217h5823:3218h17+4h5219:1013h55 -4h03+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0002:5521h40+5h4022:0016h45 -4h55+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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