REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69845 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 21:3516h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h36m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:491h35-25mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:452h30-32m09:103h55 +1h25+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:165h0210:265h12-48m12:106h55 +1h53+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:046h5012:147h00-35m13:458h30 +1h40+time
Temperance33.214:479h3214:149h0014:349h20-33m16:0010h45 +1h46+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1716:2311h0916:3411h19-8m17:4012h25 +1h16+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0618:1212h5718:3213h17-8m19:1013h55 +58m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0021:3516h20+20m22:0016h45 +25m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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