REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69728 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 28% slower than plan

Projected finish 03:1522h00 (03:0721h5203:2322h08)past the 22:0016h45 cutoff

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:252h1007:342h20+10mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:533h3809:023h47+35m09:103h55 +17m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:146h5912:247h09+1h0912:106h55 -4m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:179h0314:379h23+1h3813:458h30 -33m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:2512h1017:4512h30+2h3816:0010h45 -1h25+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:1414h5920:3315h19+3h4217:4012h25 -2h34+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:5217h3823:1217h58+4h3219:1013h55 -3h43+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h00~03:15~22h00 ±8m22:0016h45 -5h15+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload