REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 6830 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 24% slower than plan

Finished 01:4520h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 1h26m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:282h13+14mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:443h3008:543h40+27m09:103h55 +25m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:556h4012:056h50+50m12:106h55 +15m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:048h5014:349h20+1h2513:458h30 -20m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:1311h5917:2412h09+2h2616:0010h45 -1h14+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:3314h1820:0214h48+3h0117:4012h25 -1h53+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:1216h5722:2217h07+3h5219:1013h55 -3h02+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0001:4520h30+4h3022:0016h45 -3h45+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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