REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 67905 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 21:3516h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h36m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:242h10+10mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:253h10+7m09:103h55 +45m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:135h5811:156h01+8m12:106h55 +57m+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:457h3012:557h40+6m13:458h30 +1h00+time
Temperance33.214:479h3215:129h5815:2210h07+26m16:0010h45 +47m+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:0311h4917:1311h58+32m17:4012h25 +36m+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0618:4413h2918:5413h39+24m19:1013h55 +26m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0021:3516h20+20m22:0016h45 +25m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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