REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 67697 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 20:0514h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h6m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:401h2506:501h35-34mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:532h3908:132h58-24m09:103h55 +1h16+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:315h1710:345h19-33m12:106h55 +1h38+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2511:536h3912:036h49-46m13:458h30 +1h52+time
Temperance33.214:479h3213:448h3013:468h32-1h0316:0010h45 +2h15+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1715:079h5215:1810h03-1h2517:4012h25 +2h33+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0617:0211h4717:1211h57-1h1919:1013h55 +2h08+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0020:0514h50-1h1022:0016h45 +1h55+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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