REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 67486 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 23% slower than plan

Finished 02:1421h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:152h0007:252h11+1mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:253h1008:353h20+7m09:103h55 +45m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:446h29+39m12:106h55 +26m+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:378h2313:478h32+58m13:458h30 +7m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:2411h0916:3411h19+1h3716:0010h45 -24m+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:0313h4819:3314h19+2h3117:4012h25 -1h23+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0621:4216h2822:0216h48+3h2219:1013h55 -2h33+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0002:1421h00+5h0022:0016h45 -4h15+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload