REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 66981 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 19:4414h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h26m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:581h4407:021h47-16mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:032h4808:122h58-14m09:103h55 +1h07+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:345h2010:375h22-30m12:106h55 +1h35+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2511:576h4312:086h53-42m13:458h30 +1h47+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3213:558h40-52m16:0010h45 +2h05+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1715:3310h1915:4310h29-59m17:4012h25 +2h06+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0617:2212h0817:3312h18-58m19:1013h55 +1h47+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0019:4414h30-1h3022:0016h45 +2h15+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload